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Article #173: 2007 Nfl Betting: Analyzing The Nfc South

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NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS): as a favorite of between four and seven
Sean Payton did the impossible in New points.
Orleans last season, turning a moribund TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-12 SU, 6-9-1
3-13 team into a Super Bowl contender. ATS): While the Saints were going from
With the return of QB Drew Brees, twin RB worst to first, the Buccaneers were
threats Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush, heading in the opposite direction, from
and emerging WR star Marques Colston, the first to worst last year. Head Coach Jon
offense is lethal. The defense also Gruden hopes that savvy QB Jeff Garcia,
showed improvement under first year who the Buccaneers acquired through free
coordinator Gary Gibbs but lacked agency, will be able to run his complex
aggression, finishing 31st in the NFL in West Coast offense with more precision
takeaways in 2006. The line, led by than Chris Simms or Bruce Gradkowski did
Charles Grant and Will Smith, is solid in 2006. Tampa Bay has gotten old on
but the Saints need more big-play defense, falling from the top 10 in the
potential at linebacker and in the league for the first time in a decade
secondary. Still, an offense as potent as last season while ranking 31st in sacks
New Orleans' will win a lot of games. with just 25.
By the Numbers (Regular Season, By the Numbers (Regular Season,
1998-2006) 1998-2006)
SU: 64-80 SU: 77-67
ATS: 69-72-3 ATS: 69-69-6
HF: 14-24-1 HF: 30-26-2
HD: 10-16-2 HD: 9-2-1
AF: 9-6 AF: 15-18
AD: 32-25 AD: 15-21-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Saints are 8-2 ATS Sportsbook Buster: The Buccaneers are 5-1
their last 10 games versus the 49ers, who ATS versus the Rams, who they play at
they play in San Francisco, Oct. 28. home, Sept. 23.
NFL Betting Angle: New Orleans has been a NFL Betting Angle: Tampa Bay was 3-1 ATS
miserable bet at home, compiling just a last year and is 9-2-1 ATS the last nine
24-40-3 record ATS the last nine seasons. seasons in the role of a home underdog.
CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-8 SU, 5-9-2 ATS): ATLANTA FALCONS (7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS): The
Injuries ravaged the Panthers and the Falcons didn't figure to be a playoff
team that made it to the Super Bowl a contender with QB Mike Vick so their
year earlier couldn't even make to a fortunes are even dimmer now that Vick is
winning record in 2006. The offense likely to miss the season defending
struggled last year with inconsistent himself against a federal indictment for
play from QB Jake Delhomme and a ground dog-fighting sand gambling. New Head
game that finished 24th in the NFL, Coach Bobby Petrino will have to overhaul
prompting Head Coach John Fox to fire an offense that has been dependent on
offensive coordinator Dan Henning and Vick since his arrival in Atlanta seven
replace him with Jeff Davidson. The years ago. The defense, which played well
Carolina defense was as good as the last year, gets a new coordinator in Mike
offense was bad last year with DE Julius Zimmer, from Dallas.
Peppers leading the way. The Panthers By the Numbers (Regular Season,
also have a quality secondary and hope 2002-2006)
that No. 1 draft choice Jon Beason SU: 70-73-1
(Miami) will be the playmaker they need ATS: 68-70-6
at linebacker. HF: 22-21-2
By the Numbers (Regular Season, HD: 10-17
1998-2006) AF: 9-6-1
SU: 64-80 AD: 27-26-3
ATS: 71-66-7 Sportsbook Buster: The Falcons are 4-0
HF: 20-27-1 ATS versus the Lions at home their last
HD: 13-9-2 four meetings. The teams meet in Tampa
AF: 8-12-1 Bay, Nov. 11.
AD: 27-19-3 NFL Betting Angle: Atlanta is 9-2 as an
Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers are 6-0 underdog after a bye week. This year,
ATS versus the Saints, their last Atlanta travels to Tampa Bay, Nov. 4,
half-dozen meetings. after its open week.
NFL Betting Angle: Carolina is 3-12 ATS






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