2007 Nfl Betting: Analyzing The Nfc South

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS): SeanNFL Betting Angle: Carolina is 3-12 ATS as a favorite
Payton did the impossible in New Orleans last season,of between four and seven points.
turning a moribund 3-13 team into a Super BowlTAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-12 SU, 6-9-1 ATS):
contender. With the return of QB Drew Brees, twin RBWhile the Saints were going from worst to first, the
threats Deuce McAllister and Reggie Bush, andBuccaneers were heading in the opposite direction,
emerging WR star Marques Colston, the offense isfrom first to worst last year. Head Coach Jon Gruden
lethal. The defense also showed improvement underhopes that savvy QB Jeff Garcia, who the
first year coordinator Gary Gibbs but lackedBuccaneers acquired through free agency, will be able
aggression, finishing 31st in the NFL in takeaways into run his complex West Coast offense with more
2006. The line, led by Charles Grant and Will Smith, isprecision than Chris Simms or Bruce Gradkowski did in
solid but the Saints need more big-play potential at2006. Tampa Bay has gotten old on defense, falling
linebacker and in the secondary. Still, an offense asfrom the top 10 in the league for the first time in a
potent as New Orleans' will win a lot of games.decade last season while ranking 31st in sacks with
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)just 25.
SU: 64-80By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)
ATS: 69-72-3SU: 77-67
HF: 14-24-1ATS: 69-69-6
HD: 10-16-2HF: 30-26-2
AF: 9-6HD: 9-2-1
AD: 32-25AF: 15-18
Sportsbook Buster: The Saints are 8-2 ATS their lastAD: 15-21-2
10 games versus the 49ers, who they play in SanSportsbook Buster: The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS
Francisco, Oct. 28.versus the Rams, who they play at home, Sept. 23.
NFL Betting Angle: New Orleans has been a miserableNFL Betting Angle: Tampa Bay was 3-1 ATS last year
bet at home, compiling just a 24-40-3 record ATS theand is 9-2-1 ATS the last nine seasons in the role of a
last nine seasons.home underdog.
CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-8 SU, 5-9-2 ATS): InjuriesATLANTA FALCONS (7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS): The
ravaged the Panthers and the team that made it toFalcons didn't figure to be a playoff contender with QB
the Super Bowl a year earlier couldn't even make to aMike Vick so their fortunes are even dimmer now that
winning record in 2006. The offense struggled lastVick is likely to miss the season defending himself
year with inconsistent play from QB Jake Delhommeagainst a federal indictment for dog-fighting sand
and a ground game that finished 24th in the NFL,gambling. New Head Coach Bobby Petrino will have to
prompting Head Coach John Fox to fire offensiveoverhaul an offense that has been dependent on Vick
coordinator Dan Henning and replace him with Jeffsince his arrival in Atlanta seven years ago. The
Davidson. The Carolina defense was as good as thedefense, which played well last year, gets a new
offense was bad last year with DE Julius Pepperscoordinator in Mike Zimmer, from Dallas.
leading the way. The Panthers also have a qualityBy the Numbers (Regular Season, 2002-2006)
secondary and hope that No. 1 draft choice JonSU: 70-73-1
Beason (Miami) will be the playmaker they need atATS: 68-70-6
linebacker.HF: 22-21-2
By the Numbers (Regular Season, 1998-2006)HD: 10-17
SU: 64-80AF: 9-6-1
ATS: 71-66-7AD: 27-26-3
HF: 20-27-1Sportsbook Buster: The Falcons are 4-0 ATS versus
HD: 13-9-2the Lions at home their last four meetings. The teams
AF: 8-12-1meet in Tampa Bay, Nov. 11.
AD: 27-19-3NFL Betting Angle: Atlanta is 9-2 as an underdog after
Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers are 6-0 ATS versusa bye week. This year, Atlanta travels to Tampa Bay,
the Saints, their last half-dozen meetings.Nov. 4, after its open week.