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2007 Nfl Betting: Analyzing The Nfc South

NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (10-6 SU, 10-6 ATS): Sean
Payton did the impossible in New Orleans lastTAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (4-12 SU, 6-9-1 ATS):
season, turning a moribund 3-13 team into aWhile the Saints were going from worst to
Super Bowl contender. With the return of QBfirst, the Buccaneers were heading in the
Drew Brees, twin RB threats Deuce McAllisteropposite direction, from first to worst last
and Reggie Bush, and emerging WR star Marquesyear. Head Coach Jon Gruden hopes that savvy
Colston, the offense is lethal. The defenseQB Jeff Garcia, who the Buccaneers acquired
also showed improvement under first yearthrough free agency, will be able to run his
coordinator Gary Gibbs but lacked aggression,complex West Coast offense with more
finishing 31st in the NFL in takeaways inprecision than Chris Simms or Bruce
2006. The line, led by Charles Grant and WillGradkowski did in 2006. Tampa Bay has gotten
Smith, is solid but the Saints need moreold on defense, falling from the top 10 in
big-play potential at linebacker and in thethe league for the first time in a decade
secondary. Still, an offense as potent as Newlast season while ranking 31st in sacks with
Orleans'  will  win  a  lot  of  games.just  25.
By  the  Numbers  (Regular Season, 1998-2006)By  the  Numbers  (Regular Season, 1998-2006)
SU:  64-80SU:  77-67
ATS:  69-72-3ATS:  69-69-6
HF:  14-24-1HF:  30-26-2
HD:  10-16-2HD:  9-2-1
AF:  9-6AF:  15-18
AD:  32-25AD:  15-21-2
Sportsbook Buster: The Saints are 8-2 ATSSportsbook Buster: The Buccaneers are 5-1 ATS
their last 10 games versus the 49ers, whoversus the Rams, who they play at home, Sept.
they  play  in  San  Francisco,  Oct.  28.23.
NFL Betting Angle: New Orleans has been aNFL Betting Angle: Tampa Bay was 3-1 ATS last
miserable bet at home, compiling just ayear and is 9-2-1 ATS the last nine seasons
24-40-3  record  ATS  the  last nine seasons.in  the  role  of  a  home  underdog.
CAROLINA PANTHERS (8-8 SU, 5-9-2 ATS):ATLANTA FALCONS (7-9 SU, 8-8 ATS): The
Injuries ravaged the Panthers and the teamFalcons didn't figure to be a playoff
that made it to the Super Bowl a year earliercontender with QB Mike Vick so their fortunes
couldn't even make to a winning record inare even dimmer now that Vick is likely to
2006. The offense struggled last year withmiss the season defending himself against a
inconsistent play from QB Jake Delhomme and afederal indictment for dog-fighting sand
ground game that finished 24th in the NFL,gambling. New Head Coach Bobby Petrino will
prompting Head Coach John Fox to firehave to overhaul an offense that has been
offensive coordinator Dan Henning and replacedependent on Vick since his arrival in
him with Jeff Davidson. The Carolina defenseAtlanta seven years ago. The defense, which
was as good as the offense was bad last yearplayed well last year, gets a new coordinator
with DE Julius Peppers leading the way. Thein  Mike  Zimmer,  from  Dallas.
Panthers also have a quality secondary and
hope that No. 1 draft choice Jon BeasonBy  the  Numbers  (Regular Season, 2002-2006)
(Miami) will be the playmaker they need at
linebacker.SU:  70-73-1
By  the  Numbers  (Regular Season, 1998-2006)ATS:  68-70-6
SU:  64-80HF:  22-21-2
ATS:  71-66-7HD:  10-17
HF:  20-27-1AF:  9-6-1
HD:  13-9-2AD:  27-26-3
AF:  8-12-1Sportsbook Buster: The Falcons are 4-0 ATS
versus the Lions at home their last four
AD:  27-19-3meetings. The teams meet in Tampa Bay, Nov.
11.
Sportsbook Buster: The Panthers are 6-0 ATS
versus the Saints, their last half-dozenNFL Betting Angle: Atlanta is 9-2 as an
meetings.underdog after a bye week. This year, Atlanta
travels to Tampa Bay, Nov. 4, after its open
NFL Betting Angle: Carolina is 3-12 ATS as aweek.
favorite  of  between  four and seven points.



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